Daylan.PH

“Discipline is the real edge in Forex trading.”

15/06/2026

Current XAUUSD Bias (June 15, 2026)

Gold is showing strong bullish recovery after the sharp selloff earlier this month. News flow and technicals currently favor buying dips rather than chasing sells. Spot gold rallied strongly today and is trading around the 4330-4360 area, with traders focused on resistance near 4370-4400.

Market Structure Mapping
Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)

Demand Zone:

4330 - 4305

Major Support:

4300
4270 equilibrium zone

Resistance:

4370 - 4400
4510 liquidity target above highs

As long as price remains above 4300, bulls maintain control.

Highest Probability Setup
Setup 1: Breakout Retest Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Wait for:

H1 candle close above 4370.
Price retests 4370-4355.
Bullish engulfing, rejection wick, or strong bullish displacement.

Entry:

4370-4355

Stop Loss:

Below 4330

TP1:

4400

TP2:

4450

TP3:

4510

R:R approximately 1:3 to 1:5.

Setup 2: SMC Pullback Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If price retraces first:

Entry Zone:

4330-4305

Confirmation:

Liquidity sweep
Bullish engulfing
BOS/MSS on M5-M15

Stop:

4285

Targets:

4370
4400
4450

This is currently the cleaner institutional entry zone.

Sell Setup (Only if Confirmed)

Sell only if:

H1 closes below 4300.

Entry:

4295-4305 retest

Stop:

4335

Targets:

4260
4230
4200

Below 4300 the bullish recovery becomes questionable.

10/06/2026

Market Structure Mapping

✅ Overall Bias: Bearish

Mga nakikita ko:

Sunod-sunod ang Lower Highs (LH) at Lower Lows (LL) mula March hanggang June.
Nabasag na ang equilibrium area around 4494 (black dashed line).
Price currently trading around 4189 at malapit na sa major support zone (4100-4120 area).
Walang malinaw na bullish shift o market structure break paakyat.
Premium vs Discount

Premium Zone (Sell Area)

4480 - 4570
4700 - 4850

Discount Zone (Buy Reaction Area)

4100 - 4120 Support
Below 4100 = possible liquidity sweep
High Probability Scenario #1 (Preferred)
SELL THE RETRACEMENT

Hintayin mo ang retracement papunta sa:

Entry Zone

4300 - 4360

Confirmation

Bearish engulfing
Rejection wick
Lower timeframe CHoCH bearish

Targets

TP1: 4180
TP2: 4100
TP3: 4000 psychological level

Invalidation

Daily close above 4360-4400
High Probability Scenario #2
Liquidity Sweep Buy

Kung bumagsak muna sa:

4100 Support Zone

At magpakita ng:

Long lower wick
Bullish engulfing
Daily rejection

Pwede magkaroon ng relief rally papuntang:

4300
4490 Equilibrium

Pero ito ay counter-trend trade lamang habang bearish pa rin ang overall structure.

What I Would Do Right Now

❌ Hindi ako magse-sell sa current price (4189) dahil nasa support na.

❌ Hindi rin ako magbu-buy agad dahil wala pang bullish confirmation.

✅ Ang highest probability trade ngayon ay:

Hintayin ang reaction sa 4100 support.
O hintayin ang retracement sa 4300-4360 para maghanap ng sell setup.
Weekly Outlook

Bearish below 4494

Bullish lamang kung mababawi at makakapag-close sa itaas ng equilibrium zone.

My Mapping

4100 = Major Support
4300-4360 = Sell Zone
4494 = Equilibrium
4570-4850 = Premium Sell Zone
Below 4100 = Liquidity Target

20/05/2026

XAUUSD bias for today is still bearish to bearish-neutral intraday habang malakas ang USD at tumataas ang US Treasury yields. Gold is under pressure dahil hawkish pa rin ang Fed expectations and strong dollar environment.

Current market structure:

Lower highs + weak momentum
Sellers active near resistance zones
Possible short-term bounce/retracement bago ulit mag-drop

Key intraday levels being watched by analysts:

Resistance: 4500–4550 area
Strong resistance: 4670+
Support: 4457 then deeper 4310 area

This hour, the high-probability setups are:

SELL SETUP (Higher Probability)

If price retraces upward first:

Sell Zone: 4495–4515
SL: above 4535–4550
TP1: 4470
TP2: 4455
TP3: 4435

Reason:

Market is respecting bearish pressure
Dollar remains strong
Gold still below key moving averages
BUY SCALP SETUP (Counter-trend only)

Only if strong bullish rejection/candle confirmation appears near support.

Buy Zone: 4450–4440
SL: below 4425
TP1: 4470
TP2: 4490

Counter-trend lang ito, so mas mabilis ang ex*****on and partial profits are important.

For structure basis, current market is reacting around these technical zones:

Trading reminder this session:

Avoid chasing candles after big impulsive moves
Wait for liquidity sweep + candle confirmation
New York session volatility can create fake breakouts
FOMC/rates sentiment still affecting gold heavily today