CATSU - BS Agribusiness

𝑻𝒉𝒆 𝑮𝒍𝒐𝒃𝒂𝒍 𝑫𝒐𝒎𝒊𝒏𝒐 𝑬𝒇𝒇𝒆𝒄𝒕: 𝑭𝒓𝒐𝒎 𝑾𝒐𝒓𝒍𝒅 𝑵𝒆𝒘𝒔 𝒕𝒐 𝑳𝒐𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝑻𝒂𝒏𝒌

How a conflict thousands of miles away ends up in a Filipino farmer’s fuel tank is a story of a Global Domino Effect. It’s the perfect example of how Macroeconomics becomes Microeconomics.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐮𝐩𝐩𝐥𝐲 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐜𝐤
Most of the world’s oil comes from a few specific regions. When conflict or instability hits those areas, the literal flow of oil is threatened. This is a Negative Supply Shock. Because the world still needs to move despite there being less oil available, the world price of Brent Crude spikes instantly. But this global price spike is only half the story; the second half depends on how we pay for it.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐲 𝐄𝐱𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞
We don't buy oil with Philippine Pesos; we buy it with US Dollars. This is known as Forex Transmission. During global unrest, investors often rush to the US Dollar because it’s a safe haven. This makes the Dollar stronger and our Peso weaker. Even if oil prices stayed flat, we would still pay more because our Peso has lost its buying power. This expensive, dollar-priced oil then travels across the ocean and lands directly in our local economy.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐋𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐚𝐧𝐤
By the time that oil reaches our local stations, the cost has been inflated twice: once by the global shortage and once by the currency exchange. In reality, a farmer in San Andres or a fisherman in Panganiban cannot simply stop using fuel. Their tractors, irrigation pumps, and boats are the heart of their livelihood. Because they have no choice but to buy, they absorb the high cost. This eventually leads to Cost-Push Inflation, where the price of the vegetables, rice, and fish they produce goes up for everyone else at the market.

Economics proves that we are all connected. A conflict in a distant land travels through currency markets and supply chains, eventually landing right in the fuel tank of a local producer.

| If the government provides a fuel subsidy, does that fix the Negative Supply Shock, or does it simply delay the Cost-Push Inflation?

𝑬𝑪𝑶𝑵𝑶𝑴𝑰𝑪𝑺 𝑰𝑵 𝑻𝑯𝑬 𝑹𝑬𝑨𝑳 𝑾𝑶𝑹𝑳𝑫: 𝑻𝒉𝒆 𝑮𝒂𝒔 𝑺𝒕𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 "𝑹𝒖𝒔𝒉"

If you’ve seen the long lines at the gasoline stations today, you’re looking at a live demonstration of the principles we discussed in our ECON1, ECON2 and AGRI16 classes.

Why are people lining up for hours before the price hike on Tuesday? Let’s break down the "Why" using two core concepts:

📍𝑻𝒉𝒆 𝑺𝒉𝒊𝒇𝒕 𝒊𝒏 𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅 (𝑬𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒄𝒕𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏𝒔)

In class, we learned that demand isn't determined solely by current prices. One of the primary Non-Price Determinants is the Expectation of Future Prices.

The Reality: Because news outlets have confirmed a massive price increase this Tuesday (driven by global shortages and conflict), consumers are shifting their demand curve to the right today.

The Result: Everyone wants to "lock in" the lower price while they still can.

📍𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 𝑬𝒍𝒂𝒔𝒕𝒊𝒄𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝒐𝒇 𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅 (𝑰𝒏𝒆𝒍𝒂𝒔𝒕𝒊𝒄𝒊𝒕𝒚)

Why are the lines this long? It’s because gasoline is a highly Inelastic Good.

The Reality: For most of us—and especially for our farmers and logistics providers—there are no immediate substitutes for fuel.

The Result: Even when we know the price is about to skyrocket, we cannot simply stop buying it. We need it to transport crops, run machinery, and commute to work. Because the Quantity Demanded doesn't drop significantly when the price rises, we see these massive queues as everyone tries to beat the clock.

Fuel is a primary input. This rush and the subsequent price hike trigger Cost-Push Inflation. As the cost of transporting goods rises, the vegetables, rice, and meat in our value chain will inevitably become more expensive at the market.

In your opinion, which part of the agricultural value chain will be hit hardest by this Inelastic Demand for fuel?

|| 𝐑𝐄𝐂𝐎𝐆𝐍𝐈𝐙𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐀𝐂𝐀𝐃𝐄𝐌𝐈𝐂 𝐄𝐗𝐂𝐄𝐋𝐋𝐄𝐍𝐂𝐄: 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐁𝐒 𝐀𝐠𝐫𝐢𝐛𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐃𝐞𝐚𝐧’𝐬 𝐋𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝟏𝐬𝐭 𝐒𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫, 𝐀𝐘 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓-𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔

𝑇ℎ𝑒 𝐵𝑆 𝐴𝑔𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑓𝑎𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑦 𝑒𝑥𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑠 𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑚𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝐶𝑂𝑁𝐺𝑅𝐴𝑇𝑈𝐿𝐴𝑇𝐼𝑂𝑁𝑆 𝑡𝑜 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑤ℎ𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑓𝑖𝑒𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝐷𝑒𝑎𝑛’𝑠 𝐿𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝐹𝑖𝑟𝑠𝑡 𝑆𝑒𝑚𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝐴𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑐 𝑌𝑒𝑎𝑟 2025–2026. 👏👏👏

𝑇ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑠 𝑎 𝑡𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑢𝑛𝑤𝑎𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑖𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑎𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑐 𝑒𝑥𝑐𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒. 𝑌𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑡𝑜 𝑏𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑐𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑢𝑚 𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ 𝑠𝑢𝑐ℎ ℎ𝑖𝑔ℎ 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝑡𝑟𝑢𝑙𝑦 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒.

𝑀𝑎𝑦 𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑔𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑠𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑒 𝑎𝑠 𝑏𝑜𝑡ℎ 𝑎 𝑟𝑒𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑎𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑝𝑖𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑡𝑜 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑓𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑝𝑢𝑟𝑠𝑢𝑒 𝑒𝑥𝑐𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑖𝑟 𝑎𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑖𝑐 𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑠. 𝑊𝑒 𝑙𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑢𝑒𝑑 𝑠𝑢𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑎𝑠 𝑦𝑜𝑢 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑏𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑢𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑖𝑛𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑎𝑔𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑦.

𝑂𝑢𝑟 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑑𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑗𝑜𝑦:

1𝙨𝙩 𝙔𝙚𝙖𝙧 𝘽𝙎 𝘼𝙜𝙧𝙞𝙗𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨𝙨
• 𝑅𝑜𝑗𝑎𝑠, 𝑆ℎ𝑒𝑖𝑙𝑎 𝑀𝑎𝑒 𝑇.
• 𝑇𝑖𝑙𝑜, 𝐽𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑙𝑦𝑛 𝐴.
• 𝑇𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑠, 𝑅𝑎𝑓𝑓𝑦 𝑅.
• 𝐼𝑠𝑢𝑔𝑎, 𝐴𝑙𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑑 𝑅.
• 𝑇𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑒ñ𝑎, 𝐷𝑦𝑙𝑎𝑛 𝐽𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑠 𝐺.

2𝙣𝙙 𝙔𝙚𝙖𝙧 𝘽𝙎 𝘼𝙜𝙧𝙞𝙗𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨𝙨
• 𝑀𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑜, 𝑅𝑖𝑐 𝑉𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑉.
• 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑜, 𝑁𝑒𝑐𝑜
• 𝑃𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖, 𝐾𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑛 𝐿𝑒𝑒 𝐴.
• 𝑅𝑖𝑐ℎ𝑎 𝑀𝑎𝑒 𝐿. 𝐷𝑒𝑙𝑎 𝐻𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎
• 𝑇𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑙, 𝐿𝑢𝑐𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝑇.

3𝙧𝙙 𝙔𝙚𝙖𝙧 𝘽𝙎 𝘼𝙜𝙧𝙞𝙗𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨𝙨
• 𝑃𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑎, 𝑆𝑡𝑒𝑝ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒 𝑆.

𝙏𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙞𝙨 𝘿𝙚𝙛𝙚𝙣𝙨𝙚 𝘾𝙤𝙢𝙥𝙡𝙚𝙩𝙚𝙙: 𝘼 𝙃𝙪𝙢𝙗𝙡𝙚 𝙏𝙧𝙞𝙪𝙢𝙥𝙝 𝙛𝙤𝙧 𝘽𝙎 𝘼𝙜𝙧𝙞𝙗𝙪𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨𝙨

We are pleased to announce the successful completion of the final thesis defense by our BS Agribusiness students. Congratulations!

This dedicated batch of student-researchers presented eight well-developed studies before the Specialization Committee. Their research explored essential themes affecting our community and sector, including 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐃𝐲𝐧𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐬 & 𝐋𝐨𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐬, 𝐀𝐠𝐫𝐢-𝐅𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐅𝐚𝐫𝐦𝐞𝐫 𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭𝐲, 𝐏𝐨𝐬𝐭-𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫 𝐄𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲, 𝐀𝐠𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐲, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭 𝐈𝐧𝐧𝐨𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 & 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲.

The students diligently prepared under the guidance of their Thesis Professor, Ms. Krisha Nell B. Lopez, and the defense was facilitated by the Specialization Committee, led by Prof. Fe M. Valledor, along with panel members Mr. Ruel T. Tarroquin and Prof. Jhomann U. Socito, and advisers (Prof. Medie M. Lopez, Prof. Fe M. Valledor, Prof. Ma. Monette Tugay, Prof. Jhomann U. Socito, Ms. Hannah D. Molina, and Ms. Rodelyn Z. Bagadiong).

This accomplishment is a testament to the hard work and resilience of our students. We look forward to their upcoming presentations at the College Research Colloquium in December 11, 2025, where they will share their valuable contributions with the wider community.

Congratulations!

𝑪𝒐𝒏𝒈𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒖𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏𝒔,
𝗡𝗘𝗪𝗟𝗬 𝗥𝗘𝗚𝗜𝗦𝗧𝗘𝗥𝗘𝗗 𝗔𝗚𝗥𝗜𝗖𝗨𝗟𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗜𝗦𝗧𝗦!

𝐁𝐮𝐤𝐚𝐬 𝐧𝐚, 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐑.𝐀𝐠𝐫!🌾✨

The entire College of Agriculture and Fisheries faculty and staff wish you the best of luck as you take the 𝐀𝐠𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 𝐋𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 (𝐀𝐋𝐄) from 𝐍𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟏𝟗 𝐭𝐨 𝟐𝟏, 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓.

May your dedication, perseverance, and hard work blossom into success.

𝐏𝐚𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐨𝐧, 𝐂𝐀𝐅𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐥𝐲𝐚! We believe in you—always. 💚🌱

𝐁𝐮𝐤𝐚𝐬 𝐧𝐚, 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐑𝐀𝐠𝐫!🌾✨

The entire College of Agriculture and Fisheries faculty and staff wish you the best of luck as you take the 𝐀𝐠𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 𝐋𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐄𝐱𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 (𝐀𝐋𝐄) from 𝐍𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟏𝟗 𝐭𝐨 𝟐𝟏, 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓.

May your dedication, perseverance, and hard work blossom into success.

𝐏𝐚𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐨𝐧, 𝐂𝐀𝐅𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐥𝐲𝐚! We believe in you—always. 💚🌱

Best of luck, future Agriculturists! 🙏

CAFamilya, the portal to your future glows brighter because of everything you’ve poured into this journey. As you walk toward the ALE 2025, may every lesson learned become your armor and every challenge conquered become your strength. Step through with courage, the universe has been waiting for you to claim the success you’ve worked so hard for.

Best of luck, future Agriculturists! 🍀🫶

𝐀𝐃𝐕𝐈𝐒𝐎𝐑𝐘 | 𝐓𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐲𝐜𝐥𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐖𝐢𝐧𝐝 𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧𝐚𝐥 (𝐓𝐂𝐖𝐒) 𝐍𝐨. 3 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝐂𝐚𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐧𝐞𝐬!

This is a CALL to complete your emergency preparations. Do not delay! The most important step you can take right now is to ensure your EMERGENCY GO-BAG is complete, accessible, and ready to go.
GO-BAG CHECKLIST: SECURE YOUR 72-HOUR LIFELINE!

Your Go-Bag should be able to sustain you and your family for at least three days. Check these essentials:

1. Water & Food: Non-perishable, easy-to-open items (canned goods, energy bars).

2. Light & Power: Flashlights, fully-charged power bank, and extra batteries.

3. Health: Comprehensive First-Aid Kit, prescription medicines, and hygiene items.

4. Documents: Cash, IDs, and photocopies of important papers sealed in a waterproof pouch.

𝑨𝑪𝑻𝑰𝑶𝑵 𝑰𝑻𝑬𝑴𝑺:

🚨Stay Indoors: Avoid going outside and seek shelter in sturdy areas.
🚨Evacuate NOW: If you are in a low-lying, coastal, or flood-prone area, please proceed immediately to your designated evacuation center.

𝙎𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙏𝙝𝙚𝙨𝙚 𝙀𝙢𝙚𝙧𝙜𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙮 𝙃𝙤𝙩𝙡𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨:

🚨PDRRMO Catanduanes: 0912-670-7777
🚨PHILIPPINE RED CROSS: 0951-103-1624
🚨PNP Catanduanes: 0948-652-9970

Stay safe, stay vigilant!