Alaska Survey Research

BREAKING: NEW ALASKA SENATE NUMBERS!

Mary Peltola extends her lead over Dan Sullivan to over 5 points in the US Senate general election race!

Alaska Survey Research
June 4-7, 2026
N=1,393 Likely Alaska voters
MOE: +/-3.0%
Methodology: Text-to-online + ASR Survey Panel

Q: Rank the following candidates for US Senate in the numerical order of your preference.

Back in the last survey May 14-17...

Mary Peltola 48.4% (+4.6%)
Dan Sullivan 43.8%
Dustin Darden 5.1%
Gerald Heikes 2.7%

This result was consistent with numerous other surveys, dating back to 2025.

Now, in our new survey...

Mary Peltola 49.4% (+5.2%)
Dan Sullivan 44.2%
Gerald Heikes 3.7%
Dustin Darden 2.7%

The race is heating up, but there's no sign of weakness yet from Mary. She's even inching ever closer to hitting the 50% mark in the first round.

Next survey at the end of June!

The 2026 List of Most Admired Alaskans is Out!!

You can see it, in its entirety... here:

Page by Ivan Moore | @alaskasurvey.bsky.social BREAKING: What Alaskan do Alaskans admire most? In a big, statewide survey back in April, we asked 2,379 Alaskans who they admired most! Alaska Survey Research April 16-19, 2026 N=2,379 MOE: +/-2.0% Methodology: Text-to-online and ASR Survey Panel 1/39 🧵 Q: What Alaskan, living or not, do ...

AK-AT LARGE HOUSE RESULTS: Rep. Nick Begich continues to lead comfortably in House primary contest.

Let's compare House primary results from our most recent survey (May) with already released numbers from April...

Alaska Survey Research
May 14-17, 2026
N=1,401 Likely voters MOE=+3.0%
Methodology: Text-to-online + ASR Survey Panel

Q: In the primary election, all candidates for U.S. Representative will run against each other, regardless of party. If the election was held today, which of the following candidates do you think you would vote for?

Candidate: April% - May% (Change)

Nick Begich III: 46.0% - 46.8% (+0.8%)
Matt Schultz: 28.9% - 28.4% (-0.5%)
Bill Hill: 11.3% - 12.8% (+1.5%)
John Williams: 5.7% - 4.9% (-0.8%)
Other candidates: 8.1% - 7.1% (-1.0%)

The Division of Elections filing deadline is next Monday, June 1, so we'll have the final list of candidates next week.

New survey starts next Thursday!

DDA travelling to all corners of the state!

NEW RELEASE: Peltola continues to lead Sullivan in US Senate race

Alaska Survey Research
May 14-17, 2026
N=1,401 Likely voters MOE=+3.0%
Methodology: Text-to-online + ASR Survey Panel

Q: Rank the following candidates for US Senate in the numerical order of your preference.

The results...

Mary Peltola 48.4%
Dan Sullivan 43.8%
Dustin Darden 5.1%
Gerald Heikes 2.7%

So a 4.6% lead for Mary Peltola, coming close to winning it with 50% on the first ballot.

Campaigns are heating up, candidates have their ads on the air and people are starting to pay attention!

And the June 1st Alaska Division of Elections filing deadline is just days away, when we'll finally know the official candidate roster.

We'll be going back in the field in early June to see how the race is progressing!

Please spread the word with a LIKE, COMMENT AND SHARE! ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️

BREAKING: Alaska LNG Gasline Project has more than 3:1 support among Alaskans. Support rises to over 4:1 among likely voters

In a statewide survey conducted May 14-17, 2026, Alaska Survey Research asked 1,680 Alaska adults aged 18+ the following question concerning the Alaska LNG project.

Q: There have been ongoing discussions recently concerning the Alaska LNG pipeline project, which proposes to tap our North Slope natural gas for Alaskans to use and to produce LNG, or liquified natural gas, to sell to Asian markets. Right now, we have no way to access natural gas on the North Slope. The Alaska LNG proposal includes building an 800-mile, 42-inch gas pipeline from the North Slope to the Kenai Peninsula. A private company, Glenfarne, owns 75% of the Alaska LNG project and the State of Alaska owns 25%. Alaskans will be able to access natural gas from several points along the pipeline route including the greater Anchorage and Fairbanks regions.

Based on what you have heard, do you support or oppose the development of the Alaska LNG project?

Strongly support 41.0%
Mildly support 26.5%
Mildly oppose 11.5%
Strongly oppose 10.3%
Not sure 10.7%

This represents a support-oppose result of 67.5% - 21.8% among all adults. The result improves among registered voters, 68.9% - 21.1%, and becomes overwhelming among likely general election
voters, 74.9% - 18.2%.

The survey was conducted online using a dual methodology of text-to-online to a sample of cellphone numbers in Alaska, plus use of the ASR Survey Panel. Survey panelists are only recruited via
participation in ASR surveys that employ random selection methodologies, not via any other non-probability methods. The ASR panel now comprises almost 18,000 Alaskans around the state.

Data for this survey was weighted to bring the sample into line with known demographic proportions for the Alaska adult population, by Alaska region (down to borough level), by age, gender, race, education level, party affiliation, political ideology and 2024 vote for President. Voting data is overlaid with an additional voting probability weight.

CONTACT:
Ivan Moore
(907) 727-7116
[email protected]

Alaskans overwhelmingly support gasline, as major announcement made by Glenfarne - Alaska Story The support for the Alaska LNG gasline has grown to 75 percent of Alaska likely voters, according to new survey.